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By
Jon Christian Ryter
Copyright 2001 - All Rights Reserved
To distribute this article, please post this web address or hyperlink
Osama bin
Ladens terrorists are preparing to conduct a RAD War in the United
States. U.S. intelligence agency learns that bin Laden purchased nuclear
waste that will allow him to build and detonate a dirty bomb.
US Intelligence believes the material has been delivered.
Foreign
Policy magazine observed that ...if a simple radiological device
had been used in conjunction with the World Trade Center explosion, large
areas of lower Manhattan would still be uninhabitable. The article
underscored the relative ease of those attempting to secure radioactive
material from medical laboratories, construction sites, cancer treatment
centers, or hospitals. Those attempting to get rid of toxic hazardous
nuclear waste pay a pretty penny to do so. And, the companies who contract
with these legitimate users of radioactive material have to dispose of
the radioactive garbage as well. Nobody ever thought there was a black-market
demand for radioactive debris, but one mans garbage is another mans
treasure.
But they should
have. When the United States began experimenting with the use of radioactive
materials as a weapon prior to the commencement of World War II, the National
Academy of Science, which was experimenting with using radioactive material
to generate atomic energy realized, and proposed to the War Department
the use of uranium for radiological weapons. In its first report on the
subject in 1941, the Academy recommended producing violently radioactive
materials...[which would then be]...carried by airplanes to be scattered
as bombs over enemy territory. It was not until the British demonstrated
the technical feasibility of creating atomic bombs that the United States
gave up on the idea of creating Radiological Dispersal Devices (RDDs)
as they became known and focused their attention on developing an atomic
bomb in a joint project with the British.
American
Intelligence Learned That Bin Laden
Had Purchased Hazardous Waste Material
Probably within
a day or two of the terrorist attack on the World Trade Center and the
Pentagon, and perhaps even at the same time that the CIA received the
vague warning that a catastrophe was going to happen in the
United States, it appears that the United States intelligence community
received two additional warnings concerning plans that Islamic terrorists
had in store for the people of the United States. First, the US intelligence
community learned that bin Laden had purchased radioactive waste in Argentina
and that the dirty bomb making material had been covertly
shipped to Mexico where based on NAFTA standards (and what the Teamsters
had previously called a Clinton Administration policy) that encouraged
California, New Mexico and Texas D.O.T. inspectors to close one eye when
they checked the trucks of Mexican carriers. If Department of Transportation
officers in the States which border Mexico had been encouraged to ignore
slight infractions throughout the Clinton years as the Teamsters
suggested at the time, it would make sense for terrorists trying to smuggle
radioactive waste into the United States to use those routes in which
scrutiny would most likely be tempered with compassion for that carriers
lack of knowledge about DOT or regulations or the paperwork that is required
to transport consumer goods or raw materials across the United States.
Liquid
radiation poisoning
Second, the
American intelligence crowd learned, or at least suspected, that bin Ladens
pilots also had secured what may have been a substantial amount of iodine
131 (a radioactive substance) and xenon. Iodine 131 and xenon are hazardous
liquids. Combined, the two apparently become a very lethal radioactive
mixture that can potentially contaminate a large area. It appears that
the Justice Department believed it was the intent of Mohammed Attawho
actually managed to rent a crop duster in Florida but stalled it on the
runway in the flight path of an oncoming planeto contaminate an
area of Florida before the September 11 event. Atta deserted the plane
on the runway. If Atta had access to contaminants like iodine 131 and
xenon, and had managed to spray it with a crop duster over a population
center like Miami Beach, Daytona Beach, Jacksonville, St. Petersburg,
Tampa or Tallahassee, the potential existed for thousands of Americans
to be exposed to airborne radiation poisoning. If the terrorist chose
a city in Florida with a high senior population, it is likely that the
death toll would, or could, have been staggering.
It is very
likely (although not confirmed by anyone I know inside the beltway) that
it was this type of threat which caused the FAA to ground all crop-dusting
airplanes in the United States until they were convinced they had eliminated
that threatwhich may or may not have materialized as a reality.
Road
Checks
When the intelligence
community learned that bin Ladens radioactive garbage had theoretically
entered the United States through Mexico, law enforcement agencies all
over the country took the warning seriously and road checks went up all
over the United States. It is likely that 80% to 90% of the tractor-trailers
raveling on the Interstate system of the United States were checked. Clearly
for a period of a week or two, a tractor-trailer driver could not drive
through any city or town in the United States and avoid being checked
by State troopers, sheriffs officers, local police or DOT officials.
Yet, clearlyas the Bush Administration knowsit is likely that
terrorists with a truckload of spent nuclear fuel rods, or a tractor-trailer
carrying a couple tons of radioactive medical waste that they had managed
to get all the way from Argentina to the United States would have learned
how to move that material surreptitiously enough to avoid detection by
the authorities. And, it is possible that if nuclear waste material did
get into the United States that it got bottled up somewhere in California
or Texas, and is still there. If that was the case, then we can assume
that the recent threat that a major event would take place
sometime between Wednesday and Friday, October 31 through November 2 would,
out of necessity, be confined to a metropolitan area, or multiple metropolitan
areas, west of the Mississippi River.
If, however,
the nuclear garbage is medical waste such as Cobalt 60, it could be transported
all over the United States in quantities small enough to be concealed
in a pickup truck or the back trunk of a car. That being the case, and
with a sufficient quantity of this debris ending up at the target sites,
terrorists could construct a Radiological Dispersal Device.
Types of
Dirty Bombs
According to
the Institute for National Strategic Studies, if the terrorists constructed
a man-pack RDD containing 5,000 curies of Cobalt-60 (Co-60) and detonated
it with 100 lbs. of explosives, the Dirty Bomb would produce a maximum
dosage (at the point of detonation) of 12 REM (Roentgen Man Equivalent),
but would result in no radiation-related deaths.
Most scientists
in the national laboratories of the United States believe that the construction
and use of a physically-effective RDD is more difficult than popularly
assumed. To be effective, the RDD would have to contain a massive amount
of high yield nuclear waste. In 1946, the United States conducted what
was called Operation Crossroads in the Bikini Atoll in the Marshall Islands.
The atomic bomb used was a dirty bomb. The widespread contamination of
ships used in these tests gave dramatic evidence of the potential of radiological
warfare. In 1947 the Department of Defense created a panel to study the
offensive and defensive aspects of what was termed a Rad War.
The military realized that RDDs would never be effective as battlefield
weapons, but that they would be very effective as psychological weapons
because of the significant demoralizing impact such weapons would have
on any population upon which they were used.
Scientists
discounted RDDs as a viable weapon because a RDD carrying 10,000 curies
(enough radioactivity to contaminate 250 thousand square feet of open
fields, or approximately 5.7 acres) would require 310 lbs. of lead to
protect those handling the device. But the scientists making those estimates
never contemplated the idea that terrorist cell groups might willingly
contaminate themselves in order to kill their enemies.
If the terrorists
got their hands on 50-kilograms of bundled (not ground), one-year old
spent fuel rods, the spent reactor fuel would result in a maximum dosage
at the point of detonation of 3,064 REM (six times the lethal dose). If
the fuel rods were detonated with 100-lbs of explosives, the detonation
could produce a lethal radius of about one kilometer. If the target was
the Washington Monument, the lethal range would extend from the Washington
Tidal Basin on one side to the White House on the other. (It is not likely
that the terrorists got their hands on bundled spent fuel rods since it
would require a shielded tractor-trailer to transport the fuel rods. If
the terrorists were exposed to 50-kilograms of nuclear waste from spent
fuel rods, they would likely be dead before they got too far into the
United States.)
Perception
v. Realty
For years the
perception was that only the more advanced nations could build and detonate
a RDD. That perception has changed. The Department of Defense now realizes
that just about any State and non-State actor (like Osama bin Laden) can
build and detonate a RDD. However, because RDDs can now be constructed
from medical waste, the government has altered its perception that all
RDDs will have a major physical affect, and that deploying a RDD that
will cause mass casualties and deny an areas use for long periods
of time after detonation. Building lethal RDDs is not easy unless the
non-State actor can secure a sufficient amount of high radioactive material
(such as a spent fuel rod). It is the belief of the State Department,
the Department of Energy, and the Department of Defense, that it would
be extremely difficult for a non-State actor to get spent fuel rods. That
being the case, the intelligence community believes that non-State actors
would not be able to construct a RDD that would produce mass casualties
or be radioactive enough to deny area usage after the detonation. Yet,
each readily admits that such a detonation on American soil would produce
a psychological victory for that enemy. It would be another battle won.
Iraqi Production
of RDDs
In February,
1991 the Defense Intelligence Agency learned that Iraq possessed the ability
to deliver radioactive material in a SCUD warhead (a RDD). Even knowing
this, the Agency discounted the importance of their discovery as militarily
insignificant. George H.W. Bush warned Iraq that if Saddam Hussein
attempted to use biological, chemical or radioactive weapons, the United
States would respond in kind and nuke Iraq. Saddam apparently believed
Bush because the RDDs remained buried in the desert. In addition, the
US military issued NBC gear to the troops on the ground and increased
radiation monitoring to make certain that Iraq did not detonate a RDD
around American troops. The DIA, like the DoD, knew that almost any radioactive
material could be used to construct a RDD including medical, industrial
and research waste. Weapons grade nuclear material (i.e., highly enriched
uranium or plutonium are not needed). A RDD is designed to scatter radioactive
debris over a wide area in order to create radiation sickness. It is likely
that bin Laden hopes that by introducing the use of RDDs into his conflict
with the United States he will trigger what, in war, is known as Clausewitzian
Friction, a psychological factor that will generally demoralize
the enemy and sap their fighting spirit, thus reducing their effectiveness.
In the case of the United States, bin Laden may feel that using one or
more RDDs will give him a tremendous political advantage since those who
are impacted psychologicallyparticularly those in Congress who control
the ability of the President of the United States to wage warwill
likely pressure the White House to end the conflict against bin Laden
without resolution. This, of course, is tantamount to the United States
of Americathe worlds only remaining super powerlosing
a war to a ragtail group of poorly armed but dedicated religious zealots.
Iraqi Radiological
Sites During the Gulf War
During the
Gulf War, American military intelligence discovered that Saddam Hussein
was holding radioactive materials at several sites. This material ranged
from spent nuclear reactor fuel rods to medical and industrial waste as
well as a half kilogram of low grade weapons-grade uranium-235. Radiological
material was found in 14 sites: Tuwaitha Nuclear Research Center
Tarmiya Uranium Enrichment Facility Al Qaim Superphosphate Fertilizer
Plant Akashat Phosphate Mine Al Furat Centrifuge Development
Plant Al Amir Dawra Al Dadwan Badr
Salladine Nassar Works Tikrit Al Qa QA High Explosive
Test Site Al Hadre High Explosive Test Site Ash Shaykhili
Storage Facility Al Musayyib High Explosive Test Facility
Spent Fuel Storage Site, Tuwaitha Area Yellowcake Storage Site,
Tuwaitha Area. Several sites where low grade radiological materials were
known to be stored were deliberately damaged either by the Iraqis to spread
contamination, or by the US military to destroy the depots were these
agents were stored.
Damaged by
the United States were the Tuwaitha Nuclear Research Center which was
located just south and east of Baghdad; and the Tarmiya Uranium Enrichment
Facility which was located just north of Baghdad that utilized electromagnetic
isotope separation (Calutron) technology. It was in this facility that
Saddam was able to produce the half kilogram of uranium-235. The United
Nations sent several international inspectors to Tuwaitha. Contamination
in May, 1991 was considered serious. However, additional tests revealed
that the contamination never spread beyond the immediate compound area.
According to the IAEA, all of the reactor fuel rods from Tuwaitha were
accounted for, and all were removed from Iraq. Both Tuwaitha and Tarmiya
were visited by international inspectors until December, 1998.
The other radiological
sites which were destroyed in Iraq were the Al Qaim Fertilizer Plant,
the Mosel Feed Materials Production Facility (not mentioned above), the
Ramadi Radiological Weapons Test Site, the Ash Sharqat Uranium Enrichment
Plant, Al QA QA High Explosive Test Site, Al Hadre High Explosive Test
Site, Al Musayyib High Explosive Test Facility, Al Amir, Al Radwan, Badr,
Nassar Works and Salldine.
At the time
of the Gulf War, Iraq possessed a wide variety of fissionable material
and nuclear waste products for RDDs, a technology they were exploring
for use against Israel. Iraq had hundreds of tons of natural uranium ore
and uranium oxides as well as comparatively small amounts of natural uranium
metal and uranium hexafluoride. Baghdad had several isotopes produced
for medical and gamma sources. Among the isotopes being sought by Iraq,
but found there only in gram amounts, were plutonium and polorium.
National
Preparedness
On August 25,
1999 the newly formed Office of National Domestic Preparedness issued
a bulletin placing the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission on an alert concerning
the possibility of rogue nations or non-State agents (i.e., bin Laden)
using radiological devices that could endanger the public health and safety
of American citizens. At that time the Justice Department began to format
plans to deal with a Radiological emergency. There was a major change
in the thinking in Washington. Previously, the intelligence community
in America was convinced that it was not likely that lethal RDDs would
become a genuine threat in the United States since those who attempted
to deliver it would likely die from radiation poisoning. Now, as it became
more and more apparent that Islamic fundamentalists would not hesitate
to put themselves in lethal harms way in order to kill both Jews
and Americans, the threat became real.
Creating Dirty
Bombs
In Russia,
security for nuclear waste is pathetic. The potential for Islamic radicals
to get their hands on nuclear debris, whether medical or industrial waste
or spent fuel rods from nuclear reactors is very real. In 1996, Islamic
rebels from the breakaway province of Chechnya planted, but did not detonate,
such a devise in Moscows Izmailovo Park in order to demonstrate
Russias vulnerability to RDDS. America, unfortunately, is just as
vulnerableif not more so. The Chechnyian dirty bomb consisted of
a deadly brew of dynamite and Cesium 137. According to the Center for
Defense Information, if the terrorists had placed a RDD utilizing 50-kilograms
of bundled fuel rods in the two 757s that hit the Twin Towers, they would
have created a virtual graveyard out of lower Manhattan.
The United
States government issued an order on October 30, 2001 that no private
planes may fly within a certain radius of any nuclear energy facility
in the United States. It is a safe bet that for the alert period that
US fighter planes will be protecting those installations since if a small
aircraft crashed into a nuclear power plant and damaged the reactor, that
facility would become a dirty bomb that would contaminate
one, two, three or more neighboring counties, killing hundreds if not
thousands of Americans over a period of weeks or months by radiation contamination.
When George
W. Bush met with Vladimir Putin recently, Putin discussed assigning Russias
crack nuclear counter-terrorist commando unit, Vympel, to
work with US Special Forces to respond to emergencies requiring the securing
and disposing of dirty bombs. According to the Center for Defense Information,
tactical operational cooperation between Russia and the United States
would likely result in intelligence sharing in areas dealing with terrorism
and terrorists. Russia, you will recall, spent the past decade fighting
Islamic terrorists in both Afghanistan and Chechnya.
Waging a Psychological
War Against Politicians and the Media
Osama bin Laden,
a general who has very carefully studied the idiosyncrasies of his enemythe
United Statesbefore launching his terrorist war against capitalist
democracy, clearly understands that the President of the United States
can wage war against the Taliban and against his al Qaeda network only
as long as he maintains congressional unity. Once public opinion turns
against him, Congress will turn against him as well even if the majority
of the American peoplethe hawkish conservativesremain steadfastly
behind him. Bin Laden knows that when Bush finishes in Afghanistan (after
bin Laden is captured or killed), he will turn his attention on Iraq which
masterminded the plan to train pilots in the United States, and specifically
on Saddam Hussein, who has spent much of the past decade learning how
to create radiological dispersal devices. Bin Laden knows that every Islamic
nation in the worldincluding Saudi Arabia and Qatar, Americas
closest Muslim allies in the Mideastcontributed handsomely to his
effort to destroy America. In fact, while the Bush Administration seems
oblivious to that fact, a large percentage of the Muslim population in
the United States has contributed to Islams war against Israel and
America and it appears that an Islamic cell group in Trenton, New Jersey
functioned as the control group of the September 11 air attack on the
Twin Towers. This cell group, comprised of both American citizens and
Islamic tourists met in Trenton from September 4 or September
5 until September 10 to finalize their plans.
The Islamic
cell groups within the United States are determined to wage psychological
warfare on the United States until our spirit is broken and we no longer
have the will to resistor until we no longer have the will or determination
to protect the only true ally America has in the Mideast: Israel. Even
if the Islamic terrorist groups operating in this country are not able
to generate a thermonuclear event(or even a dirty little minor
nuclear event); or even if they are not able to detonate one or more RDDs
in a heavily populated area in which they merely contaminate hundreds
or thousands of Americans with radiation sickness if not killing them
outright, they will merely put that plan on a back burner and let is simmer
until we stop watching. If Osama bin Laden has learned anything at all
about Americans it is that we have very short attention spans. We cant
remember the lies our politicians tell us from one election to the next.
And, we try hard to forget those things which are distasteful to us since
those things which interrupt our carefree, affluent lifestyles. But, if
we forget this, it is likely that as we are sitting watching TV one night
in the not too distant future, we will find our regular programming interrupted
with a message scrolling across our TV screens that says: Terrorists
have attacked Los Angeles (or some other metropolitan city) tonight with
radiological weapons that were planted at several strategic locations
and detonated simultaneously. While the loss of life due to the military-grade
C-4 that detonated the Radiological Dispersal Devices [RDDs] was initially
minimal, the radiation contamination levels are believed to be more severe
than the government thought possible, and it is likely that thousands
of Californians will be affected.
When Attorney
General John Ashcroft and FBI Director Robert Meuller addressed the nation
on October 28 and announced that a heightened threat from terrorists existed
for the last week of October, they knew the threat they faced was from
one or more radiological devices. They knew, at that time, that Osama
bin Laden had purchased nuclear debris in Argentina. They knew, at that
time, that bin Ladens people had managed to successfully smuggle
their nuclear waste into the United States; and they knew from intercepted
messages that the Islamic terrorists planned to detonate at least one
RDD in the United States before Friday night, November 2.
Winter is coming
to the mountains of Afghanistan. The United States should give the Pakistani
people a nice Christmas gift for helping the United States ferret out
bin Laden: a flat, sea-level, ice skating rink about the size of Afghanistan.
And, it is about time that George W. Bush took the words of his father
to heart, and made it clear to those nations that sponsor terrorism that
the moment another intelligence agent so much as mentions RDDs in connection
with any Islamic nation or terrorist group, not only will the country
most often associated with that terrorist group be converted into a parking
lot, so will every Islamic nation in the world that harbors or supports
terrorists.
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